Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.012865 0.014511 0.016178 0.017987 0.019890 0.021825 0.023938
2025-04-20 0.009857 0.012439 0.015186 0.018293 0.021679 0.025234 0.029223
2025-04-27 0.007700 0.010764 0.014164 0.018138 0.022588 0.027360 0.032813
2025-05-04 0.005997 0.009313 0.013148 0.017767 0.023057 0.028831 0.035524
2025-05-11 0.004927 0.008446 0.012671 0.017886 0.023969 0.030698 0.038581
2025-05-18 0.003967 0.007582 0.012095 0.017803 0.024575 0.032159 0.041126
2025-05-25 0.003068 0.006670 0.011369 0.017467 0.024825 0.033163 0.043111
2025-06-01 0.002417 0.006004 0.010887 0.017371 0.025312 0.034402 0.045326
2025-06-08 0.001815 0.005307 0.010300 0.017096 0.025547 0.035315 0.047141
2025-06-15 0.001406 0.004837 0.009974 0.017115 0.026107 0.036586 0.049345
2025-06-22 0.000980 0.004242 0.009420 0.016804 0.026235 0.037327 0.050918
2025-06-29 0.000610 0.003628 0.008781 0.016340 0.026145 0.037785 0.052140
2025-07-06 0.000235 0.002798 0.007765 0.015370 0.025453 0.037581 0.052669
2025-07-13 0.000128 0.002579 0.007692 0.015693 0.026413 0.039385 0.055589
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.002199 0.007307 0.015553 0.026762 0.040437 0.057611
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001787 0.006805 0.015208 0.026821 0.041118 0.059177
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001573 0.006628 0.015319 0.027462 0.042501 0.061571
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001322 0.006339 0.015242 0.027841 0.043552 0.063557
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001034 0.005914 0.014930 0.027890 0.044178 0.065024
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000840 0.005647 0.014842 0.028224 0.045152 0.066900
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000632 0.005290 0.014587 0.028319 0.045814 0.068390
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000508 0.005111 0.014605 0.028777 0.046927 0.070421
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000349 0.004760 0.014316 0.028798 0.047479 0.071762